Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 31?
Bitcoin above ___ on July 31?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-0.7 pp
Signal Score
18/100
Data Confidence
High (71)
24h probability fell 0.7pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $49,110
- High data confidence (71)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
0.1%
24h Change
-0.7 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 0.2% |
| 7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 0.3% |
| 7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 0.4% |
| 7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 0.3% |
| 7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 0.5% |
| 7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 0.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 0.5% |
| 7/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 0.7% |
| 7/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 0.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 0.7% |
| 7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM | 0.7% |
| 7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 0.7% |
| 7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 7/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 0.7% |
| 7/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 0.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 1:15:00 PM | 0.7% |
| 7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 0.8% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$183.2K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$49.1K
Market Significance
High (73)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Attention Score
19
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 18/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 2
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 90
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 20
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability High (71)