Metro Bank One Day Cup: Derbyshire vs Glamorgan

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+50.0 pp

Signal Score

64/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability rose 50.0pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 17:12 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $7,261
  • High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Jul 31, 05:00 PM

44% 72% 100% Jul 30 Jul 31 Jul 31 Jul 31 Current 100.0% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+50.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

78 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 31, 05:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM 100.0%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM 97.3%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM 67.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM 67.0%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM 72.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM 65.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM 66.0%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM 51.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM 60.0%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM 60.0%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM 60.0%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM 60.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM 59.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM 60.0%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM 60.0%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM 60.0%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM 60.0%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM 60.0%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM 60.0%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 PM 60.0%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM 60.0%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM 62.5%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM 61.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM 49.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+2.7 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$98.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$7.3K

Market Significance

Moderate (67)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

46

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 81
Persistence 43
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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