Metro Bank One Day Cup: Gloucestershire vs Surrey

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-55.0 pp

Signal Score

65/100

Data Confidence

High (73)

24h probability fell 55.0pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 21:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $80,965
  • High data confidence (73)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Jul 31, 09:45 PM

0% 34% 67% Jul 30 Jul 31 Jul 31 Jul 31 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-55.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

81 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 31, 09:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
7/31/2026, 9:45:00 PM 0.1%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM 1.9%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM 14.0%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM 43.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM 51.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM 41.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM 54.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM 61.0%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM 58.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM 58.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM 57.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM 57.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM 57.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM 57.0%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM 57.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM 57.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM 57.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM 57.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM 57.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM 57.5%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM 55.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM 55.5%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM 55.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.8 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$102.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$81.0K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 65/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 42
Data Confidence High (73)

Next Steps

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