Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?

Open · Resolves in 58 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

9.7%

24h Change

-0.4 pp

Signal Score

40/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 0.4pp; volume is 41.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 07:27 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 0.4pp
24h volume is 41.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $5,566

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

9.7%

24h Change

-0.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

169 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 07:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/4/2026, 7:15:00 AM	9.7%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM	9.7%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM	9.7%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM	9.7%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM	10.0%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM	9.6%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM	9.9%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM	9.6%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM	9.8%
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM	9.8%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	9.8%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	11.3%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	11.3%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM	11.9%
8/3/2026, 6:15:00 PM	11.9%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	12.0%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	12.0%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	11.7%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	11.8%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	11.6%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	11.7%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM	11.7%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM	11.4%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$57.6K

Volume vs Baseline

41.8x baseline

Liquidity

$5.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (67)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 58 days

End Date

Sep 30, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 40/100.

Probability Momentum 1

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 78

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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