Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)

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Current Probability

81.5%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

Signal Score

46/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 4.0pp; volume is 5.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 20:14 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 4.0pp
  • 24h volume is 5.2x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $41,997

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 81.5% · Aug 1, 08:00 PM

63% 79% 94% Jul 31 Aug 1 Aug 1 Aug 1 Current 81.5% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

81.5%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

106 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 08:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM 81.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM 76.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM 77.0%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM 75.0%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM 76.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM 79.0%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM 79.0%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM 79.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM 81.0%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM 79.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM 78.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM 77.5%
8/1/2026, 7:30:00 AM 76.0%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM 73.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM 73.0%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM 73.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM 68.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM 72.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM 90.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM 86.0%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM 91.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM 86.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+5.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$102.4K

Volume vs Baseline

5.2x baseline

Liquidity

$42.0K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 2, 2026

Attention Score

71

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 46/100.

Probability Momentum 13
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 10
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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