Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)

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Current Probability

81.5%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

Signal Score

46/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 4.0pp; volume is 5.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 53 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 20:14 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 4.0pp
  • 24h volume is 5.2x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $41,997

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

81.5%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+5.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$102.4K

Volume vs Baseline

5.2x baseline

Liquidity

$42.0K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 2, 2026

Attention Score

71

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 46/100.

Probability Momentum 13
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 10
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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