Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.7%

24h Change

-7.3 pp

Signal Score

26/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 7.3pp

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 07:42 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $34,081
Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.7%

24h Change

-7.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

5d of stored history

45 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 07:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/30/2026, 7:30:00 AM	0.7%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.7%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.7%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.8%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM	1.1%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM	1.6%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM	1.9%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM	2.2%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM	1.6%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM	1.6%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM	1.6%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM	1.5%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM	1.6%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM	2.1%
7/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM	1.8%
7/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM	2.1%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM	3.4%
7/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.8%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM	2.4%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM	5.0%
7/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM	5.0%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM	5.1%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM	5.9%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM	6.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$35.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$34.1K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 4, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 26/100.

Probability Momentum 24

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 82

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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