Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Current Probability
33.0%
24h Change
+3.1 pp
Signal Score
48/100
Data Confidence
High (82)
24h probability rose 3.1pp; volume is 5.0x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 3.1pp
- 24h volume is 5.0x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $13,226
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
33.0%
24h Change
+3.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$137.9K
Volume vs Baseline
5.0x baseline
Liquidity
$13.2K
Market Significance
Moderate (69)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Attention Score
70
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 48/100.