Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-0.7 pp
Signal Score
46/100
Data Confidence
High (83)
24h probability fell 0.7pp; volume is 4.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 0.7pp
- 24h volume is 4.7x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $64,242
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-0.7 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$100.6K
Volume vs Baseline
4.7x baseline
Liquidity
$64.2K
Market Significance
High (72)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Attention Score
67
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 46/100.