Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?

Open · Resolves in 28 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.8%

24h Change

-1.4 pp

Signal Score

43/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 1.4pp; volume is 11.1x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 07:40 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 1.4pp
  • 24h volume is 11.1x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $105,416

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.8% · Aug 2, 07:30 AM

0% 3% 2% Aug 1 Aug 1 Aug 1 Aug 2 Current 0.8% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.8%

24h Change

-1.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

116 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 07:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/2/2026, 7:30:00 AM 0.8%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.8%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM 0.8%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM 0.9%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM 0.9%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM 1.1%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM 1.3%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM 1.4%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM 1.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM 1.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM 1.7%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 PM 1.7%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM 1.7%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM 1.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM 1.3%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM 1.1%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM 1.1%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM 1.1%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM 1.1%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM 1.1%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM 0.9%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM 0.9%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM 0.9%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM 0.9%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$81.3K

Volume vs Baseline

11.1x baseline

Liquidity

$105.4K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 28 days

End Date

Sep 1, 2026

Attention Score

69

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 43/100.

Probability Momentum 5
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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