Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?

Open · Resolves in 28 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

1.3%

24h Change

-0.8 pp

Signal Score

42/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 0.8pp; volume is 25.1x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 07:40 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 0.8pp
  • 24h volume is 25.1x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $54,093

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 1.3% · Aug 2, 07:30 AM

1% 3% 3% Aug 1 Aug 1 Aug 1 Aug 2 Current 1.3% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

1.3%

24h Change

-0.8 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

117 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 07:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/2/2026, 7:30:00 AM 1.3%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM 1.3%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM 1.3%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM 1.3%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM 1.4%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM 1.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM 2.2%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM 2.4%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM 2.6%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM 2.6%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM 2.6%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 PM 2.6%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM 2.6%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM 1.8%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM 1.8%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM 1.6%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM 1.6%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM 1.6%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM 1.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM 1.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM 1.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM 1.4%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM 1.4%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM 1.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$107.7K

Volume vs Baseline

25.1x baseline

Liquidity

$54.1K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 28 days

End Date

Sep 1, 2026

Attention Score

68

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 88
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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