Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?

Open · Resolves in 19 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

5.3%

24h Change

+1.2 pp

Signal Score

30/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability rose 1.2pp; volume is 2.4x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 10:53 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 1.2pp
24h volume is 2.4x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $56,506

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

5.3%

24h Change

+1.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

127 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 10:45 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/11/2026, 10:45:00 AM	5.3%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM	5.7%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM	5.7%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM	4.8%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM	4.9%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM	4.7%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM	4.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM	4.6%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 AM	4.3%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM	4.4%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM	4.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM	4.7%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM	4.6%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM	4.8%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM	4.8%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM	4.7%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM	4.7%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM	4.6%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM	4.7%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	4.6%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	4.2%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	3.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	3.6%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	3.6%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$82.7K

Volume vs Baseline

2.4x baseline

Liquidity

$56.5K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 19 days

End Date

Sep 1, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 30/100.

Probability Momentum 4

Volume Activity 55

Liquidity Quality 87

Persistence 10

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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