Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?

Open · Resolves in 28 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

44.0%

24h Change

+3.0 pp

Signal Score

44/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability rose 3.0pp; volume is 6.0x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 10:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 3.0pp
24h volume is 6.0x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $43,257

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

44.0%

24h Change

+3.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

163 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 10:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/4/2026, 10:15:00 AM	44.0%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM	45.0%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM	39.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM	39.0%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM	39.0%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM	39.0%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM	39.0%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM	39.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM	38.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM	38.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM	38.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	40.0%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM	39.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	39.0%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	38.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	39.0%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	39.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	38.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	39.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM	40.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$68.1K

Volume vs Baseline

6.0x baseline

Liquidity

$43.3K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 28 days

End Date

Sep 1, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 44/100.

Probability Momentum 10

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 85

Persistence 10

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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