Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?

Open · Resolves in 28 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

3.5%

24h Change

-2.7 pp

Signal Score

49/100

Data Confidence

High (83)

24h probability fell 2.7pp; volume is 4.9x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 07:27 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 2.7pp
24h volume is 4.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $152,209

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

3.5%

24h Change

-2.7 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

171 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 07:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/4/2026, 7:15:00 AM	3.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM	3.4%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM	3.8%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM	3.8%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM	3.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM	3.6%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM	3.6%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM	3.6%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM	4.2%
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM	4.2%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	4.2%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	4.8%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	4.2%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	4.2%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM	4.2%
8/3/2026, 6:15:00 PM	4.2%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	4.3%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	4.2%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	4.7%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	4.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	4.3%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	3.8%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM	3.7%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM	3.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$96.7K

Volume vs Baseline

4.9x baseline

Liquidity

$152.2K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 28 days

End Date

Sep 1, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 49/100.

Probability Momentum 9

Volume Activity 99

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 44

Data Confidence High (83)

Next Steps

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