St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

36.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

Signal Score

21/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability fell 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 21:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $749,661
  • High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 36.5% · Jul 31, 09:45 PM

36% 39% 40% Jul 30 Jul 31 Jul 31 Jul 31 Current 36.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

36.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

70 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 31, 09:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
7/31/2026, 9:45:00 PM 36.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM 36.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM 36.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM 36.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM 36.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM 36.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM 36.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM 39.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM 38.5%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM 38.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$115.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$749.7K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

21

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 21/100.

Probability Momentum 10
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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