Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

45.5%

24h Change

+8.0 pp

Signal Score

28/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability rose 8.0pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 21:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $405,748
  • High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 45.5% · Jul 31, 09:45 PM

37% 43% 49% Jul 30 Jul 31 Jul 31 Jul 31 Current 45.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

45.5%

24h Change

+8.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

68 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 31, 09:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
7/31/2026, 9:45:00 PM 45.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM 45.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM 45.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM 45.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM 45.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM 45.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM 45.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM 46.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM 46.5%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM 46.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM 46.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM 47.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM 46.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM 45.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM 38.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM 38.0%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM 37.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM 37.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM 37.5%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM 37.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM 37.5%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM 37.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$95.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$405.7K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

26

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 28/100.

Probability Momentum 27
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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