Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 1?

Bitcoin price on August 1?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

97.8%

24h Change

+48.8 pp

Signal Score

63/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability rose 48.8pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 11:49 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $11,213
  • High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 97.8% · Aug 1, 11:45 AM

48% 74% 100% Jul 31 Jul 31 Aug 1 Aug 1 Current 97.8% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

97.8%

24h Change

+48.8 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

88 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 11:45 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/1/2026, 11:45:00 AM 97.8%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM 97.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM 96.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM 95.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM 95.5%
8/1/2026, 7:30:00 AM 95.0%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM 94.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM 94.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM 94.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM 94.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM 94.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM 94.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM 95.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM 93.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM 93.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM 93.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM 92.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM 90.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM 88.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM 79.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM 78.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM 69.0%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM 67.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM 66.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$54.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$11.2K

Market Significance

Moderate (66)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 1, 2026

Attention Score

46

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 63/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 80
Persistence 42
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.