Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 1?

Ethereum above ___ on August 1?

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Current Probability

0.7%

24h Change

-11.3 pp

Signal Score

35/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability fell 11.3pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 15:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $6,123
  • High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.7% · Aug 1, 03:30 PM

0% 11% 22% Jul 31 Jul 31 Aug 1 Aug 1 Current 0.7% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.7%

24h Change

-11.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

101 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 03:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/1/2026, 3:30:00 PM 0.7%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM 0.9%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM 1.3%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM 1.3%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM 1.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM 1.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM 1.6%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM 1.8%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM 2.1%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM 2.4%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM 2.1%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM 2.2%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM 3.1%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM 2.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM 2.4%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM 2.7%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM 3.3%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM 3.4%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM 4.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM 5.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM 9.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM 14.0%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM 20.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM 12.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.6 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$69.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$6.1K

Market Significance

Moderate (65)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 1, 2026

Attention Score

27

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 35/100.

Probability Momentum 38
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 79
Persistence 43
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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