Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1?

Bitcoin above ___ on August 1?

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Current Probability

99.5%

24h Change

+24.8 pp

Signal Score

52/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability rose 24.8pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 15:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $16,223
  • Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 99.5% · Aug 1, 03:30 PM

76% 88% 100% Jul 31 Jul 31 Aug 1 Aug 1 Current 99.5% · 7d of stored history · 28 pts

Current

99.5%

24h Change

+24.8 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

103 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 03:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/1/2026, 3:30:00 PM 99.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM 99.8%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM 99.9%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM 99.7%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM 99.6%
8/1/2026, 11:45:00 AM 99.6%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM 99.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM 99.2%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM 98.0%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM 98.0%
8/1/2026, 7:30:00 AM 97.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM 97.4%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM 97.0%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM 97.0%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM 96.9%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM 96.9%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM 96.7%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM 96.7%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM 95.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM 96.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM 96.5%
7/31/2026, 9:45:00 PM 96.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM 96.0%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM 95.3%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$202.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$16.2K

Market Significance

High (70)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 1, 2026

Attention Score

42

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 52/100.

Probability Momentum 83
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 10
Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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