Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 1?
Bitcoin above ___ on August 1?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-0.3 pp
Signal Score
16/100
Data Confidence
Medium (70)
24h probability fell 0.2pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $55,907
- Medium data confidence (70)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
0.1%
24h Change
-0.3 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/1/2026, 7:30:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$49.6K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$55.9K
Market Significance
Moderate (70)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Attention Score
17
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 16/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 1
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 85
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 20
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability Medium (70)