Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?

Open · Resolves in 19 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

26.5%

24h Change

+4.0 pp

Signal Score

54/100

Data Confidence

High (84)

24h probability rose 4.0pp; volume is 11.1x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 23 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 05:40 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 4.0pp
24h volume is 11.1x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $29,258

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

26.5%

24h Change

+4.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

150 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 05:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 5:30:00 AM	26.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	27.0%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	25.0%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	25.5%
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM	25.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	25.0%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	23.5%
8/11/2026, 10:45:00 PM	23.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	23.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM	23.0%
8/11/2026, 8:45:00 PM	23.0%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM	24.0%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM	25.0%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM	24.0%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM	24.0%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM	24.0%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM	21.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM	20.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM	22.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/11/2026, 10:45:00 AM	29.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$168.3K

Volume vs Baseline

11.1x baseline

Liquidity

$29.3K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 19 days

End Date

Sep 1, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 54/100.

Probability Momentum 13

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 63

Data Confidence High (84)

Next Steps

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