Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-19.4 pp

Signal Score

54/100

Data Confidence

High (76)

24h probability fell 19.4pp

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-29 08:04 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $73,345
High data confidence (76)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-19.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

3d of stored history

20 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 29, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 AM	34.0%
7/29/2026, 6:00:00 AM	37.0%
7/29/2026, 5:00:00 AM	35.5%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM	25.0%
7/29/2026, 3:00:00 AM	23.5%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 AM	19.5%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM	21.0%
7/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM	38.5%
7/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM	34.0%
7/28/2026, 9:00:00 PM	33.5%
7/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM	26.5%
7/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM	24.5%
7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM	17.5%
7/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM	15.5%
7/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM	12.5%
7/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM	16.5%
7/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM	17.5%
7/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM	17.0%
7/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM	17.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-34.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$150.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$73.3K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 29, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 54/100.

Probability Momentum 65

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 74

Data Confidence High (76)

Next Steps

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