Vancouver: Ariana Arseneault vs Annabelle Xu

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Current Probability

82.0%

24h Change

-3.5 pp

Signal Score

20/100

Data Confidence

Medium (59)

24h probability fell 3.5pp

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-29 08:04 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $206,227
Medium data confidence (59)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

82.0%

24h Change

-3.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

3d of stored history

21 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 29, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM	82.0%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 AM	80.5%
7/29/2026, 6:00:00 AM	76.5%
7/29/2026, 5:00:00 AM	76.0%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM	80.5%
7/29/2026, 3:00:00 AM	79.5%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 AM	79.5%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM	78.5%
7/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM	78.5%
7/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM	78.5%
7/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM	78.5%
7/28/2026, 9:00:00 PM	78.5%
7/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM	78.5%
7/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM	78.5%
7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM	79.5%
7/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM	78.5%
7/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM	78.5%
7/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM	79.5%
7/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM	79.5%
7/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM	79.5%
7/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM	79.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$61.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$206.2K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 3, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 20/100.

Probability Momentum 12

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (59)

Next Steps

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