Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

9.5%

24h Change

-40.0 pp

Signal Score

64/100

Data Confidence

Medium (62)

24h probability fell 40.0pp

Market data

Updated 7 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-28 08:42 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $9,969
  • Medium data confidence (62)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (2d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

Browse other markets

Current

9.5%

24h Change

-40.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$109.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$10.0K

Market Significance

Moderate (67)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 28, 2026

Attention Score

46

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 82
Persistence 42
Data Confidence Medium (62)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.