Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-08-08?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-6.5 pp

Signal Score

54/100

Data Confidence

High (83)

24h probability fell 6.5pp; volume is 59.4x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 22:33 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 6.5pp
  • 24h volume is 59.4x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $176,933

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 8, 10:30 PM

0% 5% 10% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-6.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

167 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 10:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 10:30:00 PM 0.1%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.3%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM 9.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM 8.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 7.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 7.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 7.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 7.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 7.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 7.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 7.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 7.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 6.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 6.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$80.8K

Volume vs Baseline

59.4x baseline

Liquidity

$176.9K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

74

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 54/100.

Probability Momentum 22
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 42
Data Confidence High (83)

Next Steps

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