Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-08?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-79.5 pp

Signal Score

98/100

Data Confidence

High (88)

24h probability fell 79.5pp; volume is 331.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 22:33 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 79.5pp
  • 24h volume is 331.7x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $235,982

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 8, 10:30 PM

0% 50% 100% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-79.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

168 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 10:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 10:30:00 PM 0.1%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM 95.5%
8/8/2026, 8:30:00 PM 68.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM 75.0%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM 74.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 77.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 77.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 77.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 77.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 77.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 77.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 77.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 77.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 78.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 79.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 79.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 79.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 79.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 79.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 79.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 79.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 79.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 79.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-95.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$258.8K

Volume vs Baseline

331.7x baseline

Liquidity

$236.0K

Market Significance

High (83)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

99

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 98/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 90
Data Confidence High (88)

Next Steps

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