Will FC Alverca win on 2026-08-09?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-5.5 pp

Signal Score

50/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 5.5pp; volume is 408.4x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 20:38 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 5.5pp
24h volume is 408.4x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $163,162

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-5.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

167 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 08:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 8:30:00 PM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM	0.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.4%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM	4.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM	4.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM	5.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM	5.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM	5.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	5.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM	5.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	5.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	5.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	5.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	5.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	5.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	5.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	5.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	4.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	4.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	4.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	4.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	4.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$195.0K

Volume vs Baseline

408.4x baseline

Liquidity

$163.2K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 50/100.

Probability Momentum 18

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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