UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card)

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Current Probability

88.5%

24h Change

+26.0 pp

Signal Score

91/100

Data Confidence

High (88)

24h probability rose 26.0pp; volume is 152.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 12 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 02:02 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 26.0pp
24h volume is 152.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $9,887

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

88.5%

24h Change

+26.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

156 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 02:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	88.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM	62.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	62.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	62.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	62.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM	62.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM	62.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	62.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+27.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$223.4K

Volume vs Baseline

152.8x baseline

Liquidity

$9.9K

Market Significance

Moderate (69)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 91/100.

Probability Momentum 87

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 85

Persistence 98

Data Confidence High (88)

Next Steps

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