Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?
Current Probability
13.5%
24h Change
+6.0 pp
Signal Score
61/100
Data Confidence
High (87)
24h probability rose 6.0pp; volume is 207.1x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 6.0pp
- 24h volume is 207.1x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $15,042
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
13.5%
24h Change
+6.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+6.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$89.5K
Volume vs Baseline
207.1x baseline
Liquidity
$15.0K
Market Significance
Moderate (69)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Attention Score
73
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.