Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz - Game 1 Winner

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

59.5%

24h Change

+10.0 pp

Signal Score

41/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability rose 10.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $146,606
  • High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 59.5% · Aug 8, 06:30 PM

49% 54% 61% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 59.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

59.5%

24h Change

+10.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

167 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM 59.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 53.0%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 53.0%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 50.0%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 50.0%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 50.0%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 50.0%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM 50.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+6.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$255.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$146.6K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

29

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 41/100.

Probability Momentum 33
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 79
Data Confidence High (77)

Next Steps

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