Will AIK win on 2026-08-02?

AIK vs. Orgryte IS

Closed View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

4.5%

24h Change

-61.0 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 61.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 15:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $95,140
High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

4.5%

24h Change

-61.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

101 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 03:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/2/2026, 3:45:00 PM	4.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM	13.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM	63.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM	65.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-59.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$97.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$95.1K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 2, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 98

Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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