Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 29?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-5.9 pp

Signal Score

24/100

Data Confidence

Medium (59)

24h probability fell 5.9pp

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-29 08:04 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $22,633
Medium data confidence (59)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-5.9 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

21 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 29, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/29/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/29/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/29/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 AM	3.8%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM	1.8%
7/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM	2.0%
7/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM	4.5%
7/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM	4.5%
7/28/2026, 9:00:00 PM	8.0%
7/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM	3.5%
7/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM	3.5%
7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM	3.0%
7/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM	3.5%
7/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM	8.5%
7/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM	4.5%
7/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM	1.5%
7/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM	3.5%
7/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM	3.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$36.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$22.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (67)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 29, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 24/100.

Probability Momentum 20

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 80

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (59)

Next Steps

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