Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?

What price will Bitcoin hit July 27-August 2?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

3.3%

24h Change

-54.7 pp

Signal Score

64/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability fell 54.7pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 20:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $8,524
  • High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 3.3% · Aug 2, 08:15 PM

0% 23% 46% Aug 1 Aug 2 Aug 2 Aug 2 Current 3.3% · 6d of stored history · 28 pts

Current

3.3%

24h Change

-54.7 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

136 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 08:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/2/2026, 8:15:00 PM 3.3%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM 7.0%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM 9.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM 11.5%
8/2/2026, 3:45:00 PM 12.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM 15.0%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM 15.0%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM 18.0%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM 18.5%
8/2/2026, 11:45:00 AM 12.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM 12.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM 14.0%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM 18.0%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM 9.0%
8/2/2026, 7:30:00 AM 11.0%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM 12.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM 11.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM 9.0%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM 12.0%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM 11.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM 22.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM 31.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-3.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$74.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$8.5K

Market Significance

Moderate (66)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 3, 2026

Attention Score

46

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 80
Persistence 44
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.