Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-09?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-33.0 pp

Signal Score

71/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability fell 33.0pp

Market data

Updated 16 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 02:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $135,355
High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-33.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

152 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 02:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	23.0%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	27.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM	32.0%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	33.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-22.9 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$156.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$135.4K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 71/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 82

Data Confidence High (77)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗