Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-09?

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Current Probability

99.5%

24h Change

+38.0 pp

Signal Score

95/100

Data Confidence

High (86)

24h probability rose 38.0pp; volume is 253.3x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 16 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 02:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 38.0pp
  • 24h volume is 253.3x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $97,180

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 99.5% · Aug 10, 02:00 AM

24% 62% 100% Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 10 Current 99.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

99.5%

24h Change

+38.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

152 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 02:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM 99.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM 30.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM 64.0%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM 61.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+69.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$290.3K

Volume vs Baseline

253.3x baseline

Liquidity

$97.2K

Market Significance

High (83)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

99

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 95/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 73
Data Confidence High (86)

Next Steps

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