US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-20.7 pp
Signal Score
63/100
Data Confidence
High (84)
24h probability fell 20.7pp; volume is 2.0x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 20.7pp
- 24h volume is 2.0x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $154,208
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-20.7 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.8 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$687.0K
Volume vs Baseline
2.0x baseline
Liquidity
$154.2K
Market Significance
High (86)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 7, 2026
Attention Score
62
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 63/100.