Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

52.5%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

Signal Score

15/100

Data Confidence

Medium (66)

24h probability fell 2.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 20:14 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Low liquidity ($81)
  • Medium data confidence (66)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 52.5% · Aug 1, 08:00 PM

43% 49% 56% Jul 31 Aug 1 Aug 1 Aug 1 Current 52.5% · 5d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

52.5%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

5d of stored history

93 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 08:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM 44.0%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/1/2026, 11:45:00 AM 53.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM 52.0%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM 54.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM 54.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM 54.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+8.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$176.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$81

Market Significance

Moderate (56)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 1, 2026

Attention Score

16

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 15/100.

Probability Momentum 7
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 68
Persistence 10
Data Confidence Medium (66)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.