Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?
Current Probability
78.0%
24h Change
+26.5 pp
Signal Score
65/100
Data Confidence
Medium (66)
24h probability rose 26.5pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $19,691
- Medium data confidence (66)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
78.0%
24h Change
+26.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
1d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 7/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 78.0% |
| 7/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 42.5% |
| 7/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 44.5% |
| 7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 42.5% |
| 7/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 54.5% |
| 7/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 51.5% |
| 7/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 52.5% |
| 7/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 51.5% |
| 7/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 51.5% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+35.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$92.3K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$19.7K
Market Significance
Moderate (69)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Jul 29, 2026
Attention Score
43
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 65/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 88
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 84
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 85
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability Medium (66)