Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets July 30 - August 1, 2026?

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Current Probability

1.3%

24h Change

-8.3 pp

Signal Score

37/100

Data Confidence

High (76)

24h probability fell 8.2pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 15:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $9,574
  • High data confidence (76)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 1.3% · Aug 1, 03:30 PM

0% 24% 49% Jul 31 Jul 31 Aug 1 Aug 1 Current 1.3% · 5d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

1.3%

24h Change

-8.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

5d of stored history

97 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 03:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/1/2026, 3:30:00 PM 1.3%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM 5.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM 12.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM 14.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM 16.5%
8/1/2026, 11:45:00 AM 16.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM 20.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM 20.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM 21.5%
8/1/2026, 7:30:00 AM 24.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM 31.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM 34.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM 32.0%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM 36.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM 29.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM 30.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM 22.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM 16.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM 12.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM 7.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-11.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$119.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$9.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 1, 2026

Attention Score

25

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 37/100.

Probability Momentum 28
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 83
Persistence 84
Data Confidence High (76)

Next Steps

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