Ethereum Up or Down on July 29?

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Current Probability

53.0%

24h Change

+3.0 pp

Signal Score

18/100

Data Confidence

Medium (58)

24h probability rose 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-29 08:04 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $16,601
  • Medium data confidence (58)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 53.0% · Jul 29, 08:00 AM

21% 40% 59% Jul 28 Jul 28 Jul 29 Jul 29 Current 53.0% · 1d of stored history · 21 pts

Current

53.0%

24h Change

+3.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

1d of stored history

21 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 29, 08:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM 53.0%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 AM 53.5%
7/29/2026, 6:00:00 AM 44.0%
7/29/2026, 5:00:00 AM 36.0%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM 24.0%
7/29/2026, 3:00:00 AM 41.0%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 AM 35.5%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM 47.0%
7/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM 53.0%
7/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM 43.5%
7/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM 55.0%
7/28/2026, 9:00:00 PM 48.5%
7/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM 52.0%
7/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM 43.0%
7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM 35.0%
7/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM 55.5%
7/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM 50.5%
7/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM 50.5%
7/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM 50.5%
7/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM 50.0%
7/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM 50.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$21.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$16.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (65)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 29, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 18/100.

Probability Momentum 10
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 77
Persistence 10
Data Confidence Medium (58)

Next Steps

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