Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-04?

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Current Probability

82.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

Signal Score

58/100

Data Confidence

High (89)

24h probability fell 3.0pp; volume is 714.3x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 54 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 10:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 3.0pp
24h volume is 714.3x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $169,007

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

82.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

159 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 10:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/4/2026, 10:15:00 AM	82.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM	85.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM	85.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM	86.5%
8/4/2026, 7:15:00 AM	86.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM	86.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM	85.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM	85.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM	85.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM	84.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM	83.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM	84.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM	84.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	84.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	84.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	84.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	84.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM	84.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	84.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	83.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	83.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	83.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	87.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	89.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$123.2K

Volume vs Baseline

714.3x baseline

Liquidity

$169.0K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 4, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 58/100.

Probability Momentum 10

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 100

Data Confidence High (89)

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