Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-55.5 pp

Signal Score

87/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 55.5pp; volume is 107.3x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 22:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 55.5pp
  • 24h volume is 107.3x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $248,999

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 5, 10:15 PM

0% 31% 61% Aug 4 Aug 5 Aug 5 Aug 5 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-55.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

161 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/5/2026, 10:15:00 PM 0.1%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM 4.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM 46.0%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM 43.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM 46.0%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM 45.0%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM 46.0%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM 53.0%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM 53.0%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM 55.0%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM 55.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$343.5K

Volume vs Baseline

107.3x baseline

Liquidity

$249.0K

Market Significance

High (84)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 5, 2026

Attention Score

99

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 87/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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