Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-05?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-61.0 pp

Signal Score

87/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 61.0pp; volume is 448.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 22:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 61.0pp
  • 24h volume is 448.8x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $302,706

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 5, 10:15 PM

0% 36% 72% Aug 4 Aug 5 Aug 5 Aug 5 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-61.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

161 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/5/2026, 10:15:00 PM 0.1%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM 6.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM 43.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM 65.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM 62.0%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM 62.0%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM 59.0%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM 61.0%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM 61.0%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM 61.0%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM 61.0%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM 61.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$205.7K

Volume vs Baseline

448.8x baseline

Liquidity

$302.7K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 5, 2026

Attention Score

99

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 87/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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