Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-09?

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Current Probability

99.5%

24h Change

+58.0 pp

Signal Score

97/100

Data Confidence

High (87)

24h probability rose 58.0pp; volume is 714.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 12:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 58.0pp
24h volume is 714.5x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $70,090

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

99.5%

24h Change

+58.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

169 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 12:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 12:45:00 PM	99.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	20.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM	57.0%
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 AM	55.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	55.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/9/2026, 8:45:00 AM	52.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	48.0%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	47.0%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	47.0%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	48.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+42.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$271.6K

Volume vs Baseline

714.5x baseline

Liquidity

$70.1K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 97/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 84

Data Confidence High (87)

Next Steps

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