Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-11?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-64.5 pp

Signal Score

87/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 64.5pp; volume is 21.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 23 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 05:40 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 64.5pp
  • 24h volume is 21.6x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $184,055

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 12, 05:30 AM

0% 45% 91% Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 12 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 28 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-64.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

149 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 05:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 5:30:00 AM 0.1%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 0.1%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 0.1%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM 0.1%
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM 0.1%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 82.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM 68.0%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/11/2026, 10:45:00 PM 72.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/11/2026, 8:45:00 PM 71.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM 69.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM 69.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM 69.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM 69.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM 69.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM 69.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM 69.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$146.3K

Volume vs Baseline

21.6x baseline

Liquidity

$184.1K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

98

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 87/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.