Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-12?

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Current Probability

60.5%

24h Change

+13.0 pp

Signal Score

70/100

Data Confidence

High (87)

24h probability rose 13.0pp; volume is 165.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-13 02:21 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 13.0pp
  • 24h volume is 165.2x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $170,978

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 60.5% · Aug 13, 02:15 AM

45% 54% 63% Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 13 Current 60.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

60.5%

24h Change

+13.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

167 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 13, 02:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/13/2026, 2:15:00 AM 60.5%
8/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 47.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+8.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$237.7K

Volume vs Baseline

165.2x baseline

Liquidity

$171.0K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

82

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 70/100.

Probability Momentum 43
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 77
Data Confidence High (87)

Next Steps

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