Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)

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Current Probability

62.5%

24h Change

+11.5 pp

Signal Score

69/100

Data Confidence

High (87)

24h probability rose 11.5pp; volume is 37.0x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-13 02:21 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 11.5pp
  • 24h volume is 37.0x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $12,392

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 62.5% · Aug 13, 02:15 AM

47% 55% 64% Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 13 Current 62.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

62.5%

24h Change

+11.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

167 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 13, 02:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/13/2026, 2:15:00 AM 62.5%
8/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM 48.0%
8/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM 50.0%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM 50.0%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM 50.0%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 50.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+11.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$86.3K

Volume vs Baseline

37.0x baseline

Liquidity

$12.4K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

78

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 69/100.

Probability Momentum 38
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 82
Persistence 97
Data Confidence High (87)

Next Steps

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