Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-11?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+40.5 pp

Signal Score

87/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability rose 40.5pp; volume is 1060.0x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 20 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 07:39 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 40.5pp
  • 24h volume is 1060.0x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $166,476

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 12, 07:30 AM

44% 72% 100% Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 12 Current 100.0% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+40.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

149 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 07:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 7:30:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 5:30:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM 93.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM 58.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$141.9K

Volume vs Baseline

1060.0x baseline

Liquidity

$166.5K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

98

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 87/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.