Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 13, 2026?
Current Probability
100.0%
24h Change
+8.4 pp
Signal Score
63/100
Data Confidence
High (87)
24h probability rose 8.4pp; volume is 244.5x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 8.4pp
- 24h volume is 244.5x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $135,821
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
100.0%
24h Change
+8.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+6.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$84.0K
Volume vs Baseline
244.5x baseline
Liquidity
$135.8K
Market Significance
High (73)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 13, 2026
Attention Score
76
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 63/100.