Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+53.4 pp

Signal Score

90/100

Data Confidence

High (83)

24h probability rose 53.4pp; volume is 5.9x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 17 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 16:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 53.4pp
24h volume is 5.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $127,368

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+53.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

154 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 04:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM	100.0%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	100.0%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	95.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	90.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	88.5%
8/7/2026, 12:30:00 PM	86.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	86.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	86.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	86.5%
8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM	87.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	87.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM	86.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM	82.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM	77.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM	73.5%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 AM	69.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM	64.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM	55.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM	54.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM	50.0%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM	63.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM	62.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+4.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$132.5K

Volume vs Baseline

5.9x baseline

Liquidity

$127.4K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 90/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 45

Data Confidence High (83)

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