Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-40.5 pp
Signal Score
91/100
Data Confidence
High (83)
24h probability fell 40.5pp; volume is 5.5x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 40.5pp
- 24h volume is 5.5x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $83,559
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-40.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-4.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$162.5K
Volume vs Baseline
5.5x baseline
Liquidity
$83.6K
Market Significance
High (81)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 7, 2026
Attention Score
98
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 91/100.